Module 10 Closure
Spring 2006
Prepared by Greg Kinney

 

Most meaningful items

 

 

 

 

 

Muddiest items

Instructor’s replyThe answer is an unqualified yes.  I believe there are three basic reasons why.  The first is that experienced PMs have a lot of processes to manage concurrently, particularly if they are managing multiple projects.  Even though they actually know they need to secure resources, they may be distracted and not think of what to do until they are caught flat-footed later on. 

The second reason is that there is typically a lack of understanding at the company level.  In a multi-project organization, there are a lot of people working on a lot of projects.  This means that there is a big picture that very few people have, and fewer still (if any) understand the micro-details of required resources and how that compares with resources that are going to be available.  They don’t have those details until they are bumping up against resource constraints, such as skilled labor, bedspace, rolling stock, etc., and by that time, schedules have to slide.  Of course, what is at fault here in this case is lack of adequate advance planning effort at a company level.

The final reason is related to the first and the second.  The PMs themselves are paid to be “worry-warts” and to be pushy.  If they aren’t, you’ll often see a lack of followthrough on items that later prove critical.  One of the things that they need to be most concerned about is resources.  They need to ask the hard questions that cause the company to look harder at what will be required.  In other words, they have to get focused on this issue and then prod the company to develop its near-term and medium-term resource plans. 

Only when the information gets developed does it become clear what the resource constraints will be.  Not that the crystal ball is perfect: it isn’t.  But it is necessary to do that level of planning and projection.  It doesn’t happen without work and without prodding.

 

Instructor’s replyI haven’t used that heuristic approach, but I believe the main reason to concentrate on “most successors” is that tasks having the most successors can be regarded as most leveraging in reducing the overall duration requirements of the network.  We’re potentially interested in compressing the duration of the job as a whole, not just the critical path (because the critical path could shift once you compress certain tasks).  Thus, looking at “most successors” could be helpful in assuring that schedule compression will propagate throughout the network.

 

Instructor’s replyThe heuristic approach includes rules of thumb and rule-based observations.  For example, we have a homework problem that requires the student to identify what paths to partially crash.  You can solve that by noticing what tasks have the lowest cost slopes, and then configuring the ways in which you get to a 10 day partially crashed schedule.  This is essentially a cut-and-try method:  it employs the logical rule that the tasks to focus on are the ones having the lowest cost impact first.  But in solving that problem, you haven’t proven (unless you explore by enumeration all possible alternatives) that there isn’t some other tactic giving you the same result. 

If, on the other hand, you employ an optimization approach (also known as an “operations research,” “management science” or “mathematical programming” approach), you can show what the least cost approach.  (This is covered in the Operations Research class.)  Excel includes an add-in, called Solver, that is handy for this kind of thing.  Essentially, you find the minimum of something (in this case, cost) given a set of constraints that can be mathematically described. 

There is a problem with that kind of approach, in that it’s often hard to formulate the mathematics, even for simple problems.  At least it’s harder than it’s worth, even though the advent of Solver made the solutions vastly easier.

 

Instructor’s replyPrimarily, in my experience, it is the cost of extra labor.  If a project is running late, you may have to hire extra people, or keep them on longer than expected.  You’re tying up resources that could be used more profitably elsewhere.  Also, there is the cost of equipment rentals running on longer than expected, overtime costs, and in some cases liquidated damages (which most courts say can only be legitimate costs of a delay, not a penalty clause).  In some organizations, any project that stays alive gets assigned accruals that support project administrative general expenses.  Plus, there can be extra interest expenses from extensions of construction loans.